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Operating Renewable Assets in a High Frequency Market

For owners and operators of wind and solar portfolios, the operating environment has changed profoundly. Assets are connected to a growing number of markets, day-ahead auctions, intraday auctions, continuous markets and balancing schemes, many of which now use 15-minute market time units. Decision cycles have shortened, while price and volume uncertainty have increased. The common denominator behind this complexity is weather. Accurate, timely forecasts of wind and solar production are no longer just a planning tool; they are central to dispatch decisions, maintenance scheduling and revenue optimization.

Published

Feb 9, 2026

AI-Weather Rapid Updates provides asset owners and operators with an AI-driven, high-frequency weather signal tailored for short-term power markets, enabling more informed decisions for the next 48 hours.   

A New Level of Visibility for Wind and SPV Portfolios

Through an AI-weather engine developed by our partner Jua, integrated with Volue’s fundamental models, AI-Weather Rapid Updates delivers:

  • Hourly forecast updates (24 per day) for wind and solar production.  
  • A 0–48 hour horizon, optimized for intraday, day-ahead and balancing market decisions.   
  • Coverage across Europe and Japan, with an expansion into consumption and extended horizons on the roadmap. 

This gives asset operators a continuous stream of updated production expectations that reflect the latest weather observations, not a snapshot taken many hours earlier.

Higher Accuracy in the Operational Window

AI-weather improves short-term precision by learning from recent observations and model error patterns. This adaptive behavior delivers measurable gains in accuracy for the 0–48 hour window, where operational and dispatch decisions have the highest financial impact.  
  
For wind and SPV operators, better accuracy in this timeframe supports:

  • More reliable production schedules.
  • Improved alignment between asset output and market commitments.
  • Reduced mismatch between expected and actual generation, particularly in volatile conditions. 

Practical Applications for Asset Dispatch & Operations

1. Short-Term Dispatch Optimization

With hourly updated production expectations, operators can continuously refine how they dispatch power into different markets:

  • Align offers in day-ahead auctions (SDAC) with the most recent view of tomorrow’s wind and solar production.   
  • Adapt intraday trading strategies to reflect changes in forecasted output, rather than waiting for the next ECMWF run.
  • Coordinate participation in balancing markets with anticipated deviations from initial schedules.

This dynamic approach helps capture more value from the asset portfolio and reduces losses from over- or undercommitment.

2. Maintenance and Curtailment Planning

Operational decisions about maintenance, curtailment and onsite interventions have direct revenue consequences. AI-Weather Rapid Updates supports better timing by:

  • Highlighting hours where production is expected to be low, creating natural windows for maintenance activities.
  • Identifying high-price, high-production hours where curtailment or downtime should be avoided.
  • Providing a more accurate view of near-term conditions to plan interventions days or hours in advance.   

3. Portfolio Level Risk Management and Hedging

For asset owners exposed to merchant risk, forecast quality directly influences hedging and risk management:

  • AI-weather serves as an independent second signal alongside ECMWF-driven fundamentals, highlighting where forecast divergence could impact revenue or imbalance costs.   
  • This enables more informed decisions about when to lock in volumes, when to stay flexible and how to structure hedges around particularly uncertain periods.

Bridging Operations and Trading

AI-Weather Rapid Updates is fully integrated into Volue’s fundamentals, accessible through both API and application. This creates a shared, consistent data foundation across operational and trading teams:   

  • Operations teams use the forecasts for scheduling, maintenance and unit-level decisions.
  • Trading teams use the same signal to manage positions in day-ahead, intraday and balancing markets.
  • Management teams gain clearer oversight of how weather-driven risks translate into financial outcomes.

By aligning all stakeholders around a common, high-frequency view of the future, AI-weather helps ensure that every decision, from turbine to trading desk, is pulling in the same direction.

Smarter Assets in a Faster Market

Wind and solar assets operate in markets that move at high speed. To optimize value, operators need more than just accurate forecasts; they need accurate forecasts that update as fast as the market does.

AI-Weather Rapid Updates delivers this capability: hourly, AI-driven forecasts that give wind and SPV portfolios a continuously refreshed view of the next 48 hours. The result is better dispatch, smarter maintenance planning and stronger revenue capture across all short-term markets.